Which U.S. States Will Be Hit Hardest by Atmospheric Rivers

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This blog post explains the approaching atmospheric river expected to strike the Pacific Northwest later this week. It summarizes forecasts from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, the areas most likely to be impacted, the primary hazards—including heavy precipitation, strong winds, significant coastal waves, flooding, and mudslides—and practical steps residents and communities should take to prepare.

I draw on decades of meteorological experience to clarify the science and suggest sensible precautions.

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Overview of the forecast and what an atmospheric river means

Forecasters identify this event as the first “true” atmospheric river of the season for the Pacific Northwest. NOAA describes atmospheric rivers as narrow bands of concentrated water vapor in the atmosphere that can transport vast amounts of moisture hundreds to thousands of miles.

When these bands make landfall they can produce both beneficial snowfall at higher elevations and hazardous heavy rain at lower elevations.

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Why this system matters

This system has been on the NWS Climate Prediction Center’s radar for about a week. The Weather Prediction Center’s outlook for October 23–27 highlights a corridor from Northern California through Washington state as the primary impact zone.

The combination of coastal exposure, mountainous terrain, and saturated soils in some basins increases risk potential for rapid runoff, flooding, and slope failures.

Expected impacts across the region

The forecast calls for a multi-day event with coastal and inland differences in hazards. Coastal communities should prepare for heavy waves and high winds.

Inland valleys and river basins should anticipate heavy rainfall amounts that could exceed local drainage capacities. Higher elevations are likely to receive substantial snowfall instead of rain.

This can add complexity to travel and infrastructure stresses.

Key hazard details

Forecasters are calling for the following site-specific impacts and timing:

  • Coastal waves: Significant waves along the coast from Northern California up through Washington on Thursday and Friday.
  • High winds: Strong winds expected along the Oregon and Washington coasts from Thursday through Saturday, increasing the risk of downed trees and power outages.
  • Heavy precipitation: Rain and mountain snow extending from Central California through Western Oregon and Washington, lasting into Sunday.
  • Rain totals and snow: Coastal rainfall could reach up to four inches near exposed shorelines, while higher elevations may see heavy snowfall.
  • Flood and landslide risk: The intensity of precipitation and runoff increases the chance for localized flooding and mudslides, especially in burn-scarred or saturated watersheds.
  • Practical preparedness advice

    As an operational forecaster for many years, I emphasize that preparation reduces risk. Residents and local officials should monitor official NWS and local alerts and take precautionary steps now rather than waiting for last-minute warnings.

    Recommended actions

    Consider these practical measures:

  • Monitor local weather updates: Keep a battery-powered radio or smartphone alerts enabled for NWS warnings.
  • Secure outdoor items: Bring in or tie down patio furniture, trash bins, and other objects that strong winds could displace.
  • Avoid driving in heavy flood waters: Turn around, don’t drown—roads can become impassable quickly.
  • Protect property: Clear gutters and storm drains where safe to do so. Move vehicles to higher ground if you are in a flood-prone area.
  • Prepare an emergency kit: Include water, food, medications, and flashlights. Have a plan for rapid evacuation if needed.
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    Here is the source article for this story: Map shows which states will get hit hardest by atmospheric river

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