This post summarizes the latest alerts and forecast for Tropical Storm Melissa as it approaches Jamaica. It explains the primary hazards the island faces and offers actionable preparedness guidance for residents and responders.
As an experienced scientist with three decades studying tropical cyclones, I focus here on the meteorological outlook and likely impacts. Practical steps to reduce risk are also provided.
Current watches, warnings, and the forecast for Tropical Storm Melissa
Jamaica is now under both a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning as of Thursday morning. These official alerts indicate that tropical storm conditions are possible or expected and that hurricane-force conditions may develop within the watch area.
Meteorological agencies are tracking Melissa closely. Forecasters expect storm-force winds to begin impacting parts of the island by Friday afternoon.
They are monitoring signs that the system could undergo rapid intensification as it approaches.
Projected intensity and timing
The National Hurricane Center projects Melissa to strengthen significantly, potentially becoming a major hurricane. Current guidance suggests Melissa could reach Category 4 intensity by late this weekend or early next week.
While exact timing and track remain subject to change, the possibility of a fast ramp-up in strength heightens the urgency for preparedness.
Primary hazards: wind, rain, storm surge, and flooding
Tropical storms and hurricanes threaten communities through multiple hazards at once. For Jamaica, the highest immediate threats are heavy rainfall and life-threatening flash flooding, combined with dangerous surf and very strong winds.
Specific threats to communities and infrastructure
Heavy rain over steep terrain can produce rapid runoff and flash flooding in rivers, gullies, and low-lying coastal plains. Strong winds may cause widespread tree damage and power outages.
High seas and storm surge will generate dangerous coastal conditions. Emergency services are on alert as the island braces for these possible severe impacts.
What residents and authorities should do now
Given the forecast and the risk of rapid intensification, preparation should be immediate and thorough. Below is a practical checklist to help households and community leaders prepare:
Coordination between emergency services and the public
Local authorities and emergency services are activating plans and preparing for search, rescue, utility restoration, and shelter operations.
Residents should follow official evacuation orders and advisories immediately.
Do not wait until conditions deteriorate—evacuation becomes more dangerous as winds and flooding increase.
Stay informed through reliable sources such as the National Hurricane Center, local meteorological services, and official government channels.
Here is the source article for this story: Jamaica issues Hurricane Watch as dangerous Tropical Storm Melissa crawls along in Caribbean | Latest Weather Clips