This blog post explains the development and near-term outlook for Tropical Storm Priscilla, which formed in the Pacific off Mexico’s coast. It puts the forecast into context for communities, mariners, and emergency managers.
I summarize the storm’s current characteristics, projected track and intensity, the areas under watch, and what to expect in the coming days. I also briefly note the unrelated Pacific system, Octave, which remains far offshore.
Current status of Tropical Storm Priscilla
As of the National Hurricane Center’s latest advisory, Priscilla is a large tropical storm located in the eastern Pacific, several hundred miles off southwestern Mexico. The size and structure of this system already have operational implications for coastal observations and marine interests.
Observed wind field, position and motion
Priscilla had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 kph) at the time of the report. Tropical-storm-force winds extended up to 140 miles (220 kilometers) from its center.
The storm was located about 285 miles (460 kilometers) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. It was moving northwest at roughly 7 mph (11 kph).
Forecast: track and intensity outlook
Forecasters expect Priscilla to continue moving roughly parallel to Mexico’s coastline during the next several days. Coastal communities should monitor conditions even if a direct landfall is not currently forecast.
The National Hurricane Center projects strengthening, with the storm likely to reach hurricane intensity by Sunday.
Watches, timing, and expected conditions
A tropical storm watch is in effect for the coastal stretch between Punta San Telmo and Punta Mita in southwestern Mexico. Officials warned that tropical storm conditions could develop in that area on Sunday and Monday.
If intensification proceeds as expected, hurricane conditions may follow along some portions of the coast or at sea. The storm’s strongest winds may remain offshore but close enough to affect coastal seas and surf.
Key implications of the forecast include increased surf, hazardous marine conditions, and gusty winds along exposed headlands. Rip currents and coastal flooding from storm surge are possible in low-lying areas given the storm’s size and track parallel to the coast.
Impacts, preparedness and mariner guidance
Large, slow-moving or near-coastal tropical cyclones can produce dangerous seas, heavy rains, and locally damaging gusts. Residents and visitors along the watch area should review preparedness measures and stay tuned to official updates.
Practical steps for residents and mariners
For emergency managers, now is the time to verify shelters, supplies, and communication plans. Response can be scaled quickly if conditions deteriorate.
A note on Tropical Storm Octave
Another Pacific system, Octave, remains well offshore with sustained winds near 65 mph (100 kph). Importantly, it does not currently pose a threat to land.
The eastern Pacific can produce multiple simultaneous tropical systems during the season. Each system requires independent monitoring.
Here is the source article for this story: Tropical Storm Priscilla forms in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Mexico