This blog post summarizes the latest situation and expert guidance on Tropical Storm Melissa as it moves slowly through the central Caribbean.
I explain the forecast, who is most at risk, likely impacts across Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, and clear preparedness/”>preparedness steps residents and responders should take now to reduce harm.
What the forecast says about Tropical Storm Melissa
Tropical Storm Melissa is currently moving slowly through the central Caribbean and, according to forecasters, is expected to strengthen into a powerful Category 4 hurricane over the coming days.
Because the system is moving slowly, the primary meteorological concern is prolonged rainfall over parts of the island chain rather than a fast-moving wind-only event.
Forecast uncertainty remains significant—small changes in steering currents can shift the storm’s center and the areas that receive the worst impacts.
That uncertainty means broad preparedness and rapid-response plans are essential for millions of residents in the region.
Current position, intensity, and trajectory
At present, Melissa is located in the central Caribbean and is exhibiting slow forward motion.
Meteorologists are tracking an intensification trend that could carry the storm into major hurricane strength.
The exact path is not yet locked in, and model guidance continues to show variation day-to-day.
Slow movement increases the chance of extended heavy rainfall over the same locations, raising the threat of flash flooding, river overflows, and landslides in vulnerable terrain.
Coastal and low-lying communities should be particularly vigilant for flooding and storm surge.
Who is most at risk and expected impacts
Millions of people across Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic are preparing for potential severe weather impacts from Melissa.
The combination of heavy rain, strong winds, and coastal surge presents multiple hazards that can occur simultaneously.
Emergency officials in the region have already begun issuing warnings and preparing shelters.
Local conditions and communication access will control how effectively residents can reach safety if evacuations become necessary.
Flooding, wind damage, and travel disruption
The principal hazards to expect are prolonged heavy rainfall leading to widespread flooding, strong winds capable of structural damage and downed trees, and coastal inundation in exposed areas.
Air and sea travel across the Caribbean are likely to face significant disruptions, impacting evacuations, supply chains, and relief operations.
- Flooding and flash floods: Slow storm motion increases the duration of intense rain over mountainous and urban drainage basins.
- High winds: If Melissa reaches Category 4 intensity, sustained hurricane-force winds and damaging gusts will pose a major risk to buildings and infrastructure.
- Travel interruptions: Airports, ferry services, and ports will likely reduce or suspend operations as the storm approaches.
Preparedness: what residents and authorities should do now
Early preparation is critical—authorities emphasize that timely action can significantly reduce loss of life and property.
Communities should treat official warnings and evacuation orders seriously and prepare for extended periods without normal services.
Below are essential preparedness steps to reduce risk and improve resilience during the event.
Practical actions to reduce risk
- Monitor official updates: Keep tuned to national meteorological services and local emergency management for real-time advisories and evacuation instructions.
- Prepare an evacuation plan: Identify safe routes and nearby shelters ahead of time. Arrange transport if needed and heed evacuation orders immediately.
- Secure property and essentials: Bring in loose outdoor items and board windows if necessary. Prepare an emergency kit with water, food, medicines, and important documents.
- Protect against flooding: Move valuables to higher ground. Consider sandbags or barriers if available and recommended by authorities.
- Plan for communication outages: Have battery backups and a charged power bank. Set up a family communication plan in case phones and networks fail.
Coastal communities should act now—monitor updates, prepare to evacuate if told to do so, and take shelter actions early rather than waiting until the last minute.
As the situation develops, we will continue to provide updates and expert analysis.
For now, prioritize safety, follow local authorities, and secure what you can while there is time.
Here is the source article for this story: Tropical Storm Melissa forecast to become Category 4 storm, to bring days of rain to Caribbean | Latest Weather Clips