Thinking about a Thanksgiving trip to Florida? You’ll probably want to pack for warm afternoons, mild evenings, and maybe a passing shower or two. Typically, highs reach the upper 70s to low 80s, with cooler mornings in the 60s.
Most years, it feels more like late summer than fall, but sometimes a cold front brings a quick drop in temperatures, especially up north.
You’ll see the weather change depending on where you visit. South Florida usually feels hot and humid, while the Panhandle and northern cities get cooler air more often.
This mix of climates makes Florida a quirky place for Thanksgiving, whether you’re on the beach or having dinner outside with family.
Rain happens, but it’s usually just light showers, not day-long storms. Still, you’ll want to check the forecast since Florida weather can flip fast and affect your travel plans.
Knowing what to expect makes it easier to plan, and honestly, it helps you enjoy the holiday with fewer surprises.
Typical Thanksgiving Weather in Florida
Florida usually feels warmer than most of the country during Thanksgiving week. Temperatures tend to stay mild, humidity drops off a bit, and the skies brighten up compared to summer.
Weather varies by region, but you’ll generally find comfortable conditions for outdoor fun.
Average High and Low Temperatures
Daytime highs around Thanksgiving usually land between the mid-70s and mid-80s °F, depending on where you are. Miami and Fort Lauderdale often hit the low to mid-80s.
Central Florida cities like Orlando usually see upper-70s to low-80s. North Florida, including Jacksonville and Tallahassee, stays cooler, with highs closer to the low-70s.
At night, temperatures drop more. South Florida’s lows usually hover in the upper-60s to low-70s.
Central Florida cools into the low to mid-60s. North Florida sometimes dips into the 50s.
Historical records show Miami has even reached the upper-80s on some Thanksgivings. Rare cold fronts have dropped lows into the 40s up north.
Those extremes don’t happen often, but they’re worth knowing about.
Humidity Levels in Late November
Humidity in Florida drops in late November, but it doesn’t vanish. You’ll usually feel a moderate humidity range that makes warm afternoons pretty pleasant.
South Florida keeps more humidity thanks to its tropical climate. Central and North Florida get drier air, especially after a cold front moves through.
These fronts bring brief drops in dew points, giving mornings and evenings a crisp, fresh feel.
If you’re planning to be outside, this time of year is a lot easier to enjoy than the muggy summer. You might still notice some moisture, but it rarely gets as oppressive as July or August.
Sunshine and Cloud Cover Patterns
Late November brings steadier skies than hurricane season. You’ll get plenty of sunshine across much of Florida.
Days are shorter, but you’ve got a good shot at clear or partly cloudy skies.
Rain chances drop compared to summer, though scattered showers still pop up. South Florida can get quick showers from ocean moisture, while North Florida is more affected by cold fronts, which bring clouds or light rain.
Many Thanksgiving weeks bring long stretches of dry, sunny weather. That makes it a solid time for outdoor gatherings, beach trips, or hanging by the pool—especially in Central and South Florida, where the sun shows up most often.
Regional Weather Variations Across Florida
Thanksgiving weather in Florida really depends on where you’re headed. Temperatures, rainfall, and humidity shift from the cooler Panhandle to the tropical Keys.
North Florida and Panhandle Conditions
North Florida and the Panhandle usually get cooler, drier air than the rest of the state. Highs usually sit in the mid-60s to low 70s °F, and lows often drop into the 40s and 50s °F.
Cold fronts come through more often here in late November. They bring breezy weather, lower humidity, and a real chill in the mornings and evenings.
Rain chances are moderate, but the showers don’t stick around long.
If you’re planning outdoor stuff, bring a light jacket or sweater. Nights can get pretty crisp, especially inland.
This part of Florida gives you the best shot at “fall-like” weather.
Central Florida Climate Trends
Central Florida, including Orlando and Tampa, sits between the cool north and the tropical south. Afternoon highs usually reach the mid-70s to low 80s °F.
Nights drop into the 50s and 60s °F.
Humidity drops compared to summer, but it can still feel warm by day. Cold fronts pass through sometimes, bringing a quick dip in temperature and clearer skies.
Rain is rare, but you might catch a passing shower.
Theme parks and outdoor spots usually have comfy weather now. Light clothes work for the day, but keep a sweater or long sleeves for the evening.
The weather tends to be steady enough that Thanksgiving travel plans don’t usually get disrupted.
South Florida and Keys Weather Patterns
South Florida and the Keys stay much warmer for Thanksgiving. Daytime highs often hit the low to mid-80s °F, with overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid-70s °F.
Rain chances drop since November falls in the dry season, but quick showers can still show up. Humidity stays lower than summer, but it’s higher than up north.
The Keys get steady breezes and mild evenings. You’ll probably spend most of your time in short sleeves and light clothes.
If you want a tropical holiday, this is the warmest, most consistent weather you’ll find in Florida for late November.
Rainfall and Precipitation Trends
Thanksgiving in Florida usually lands during a seasonal shift—summer rains calm down, but the occasional front still brings showers. Rain chances change by region, with coastal and central areas seeing different patterns than the Panhandle.
Probability of Rain on Thanksgiving
Late November falls outside Florida’s main rainy season, which runs June through September. By Thanksgiving, the state typically gets drier, cooler weather.
Still, you’ll see some variety depending on where you are.
For instance, Miami averages about 2.1 inches of rain in November. Jacksonville averages closer to 2.4 inches.
Tampa gets a bit less at 1.7 inches, while Pensacola usually sees more—around 3.7 inches.
During Thanksgiving week, the chance of measurable rain usually runs from 15% to 30%, depending on cold fronts. Coastal areas often have higher odds than inland spots.
If you’ve got outdoor plans, check local forecasts. Conditions can flip in a day.
Thunderstorms and Showers
Thunderstorms don’t show up as much in late November as they do in summer, but they’re not impossible. Most storms pop up when a cold front sweeps down from the north and hits Florida’s moist air.
These storms are usually quick and more likely up in the Panhandle or northern parts of the state.
Central and South Florida mostly get brief showers instead of long storms. Rain might come in quick bursts, usually less than an hour.
Unlike summer, lightning isn’t a big concern, but if you hear thunder, it’s still smart to take cover.
Travelers should watch for wet roads and lower visibility during these showers, even if the total rainfall is pretty low.
Dry Spells and Drought Concerns
By late fall, Florida often shifts into a drier season that can last into early spring. You might get long dry spells around Thanksgiving, especially in central and southern counties.
Drought isn’t a given but can develop if rainfall stays below normal for weeks. These dry stretches dry out the soil and can affect local plants—worth thinking about if you’re planning things like hiking or camping.
Some years, the Panhandle gets more rain from passing fronts, while South Florida stays dry. If you arrive during a dry spell, you’ll notice low humidity, clear skies, and cooler nights—pretty great for outdoor get-togethers.
Cold Fronts and Temperature Swings
Florida’s Thanksgiving weather can change fast. Warm, humid days sometimes turn into sharp cool-downs within hours.
Passing cold fronts cause these quick shifts.
Typical Timing of Cold Fronts
Cold fronts usually show up in Florida during late November, with cool air pushing down from the north. You’ll notice them more in the Panhandle and North Florida, where winter makes its first entrance.
These fronts often pass through just before or during the holiday week. A front can bring showers or storms, then drier, cooler air follows.
Timing changes every year, but you’ll often get one or two fronts moving through during Thanksgiving.
Central and South Florida feel the effects later and not as strongly. North Florida can see lows in the 40s or even 30s, while farther south, nights usually stay in the 50s or 60s.
Temperature Drops and Recovery
When a cold front moves through, daytime highs can drop by 15 to 25 degrees compared to the day before. For example, you might have mid-70s on Wednesday, then only the upper 50s by Friday.
Nights get even cooler, and sometimes the Panhandle hits freezing.
These chilly spells don’t last long. Florida bounces back quickly once the cool air moves out.
Within two or three days, highs often climb back into the 70s, especially farther south.
Here’s a typical pattern:
| Region | Pre-Front High | Post-Front High | Post-Front Low |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida | 75°F | 58°F | 35–40°F |
| Central Florida | 78°F | 64°F | 48–55°F |
| South Florida | 82°F | 70°F | 55–62°F |
Impact on Outdoor Activities
Cold fronts can shake up your holiday plans. If you’re hosting dinner outside, expect cooler evenings—maybe bring jackets or set up outdoor heaters.
Morning frost can show up in North Florida, which matters if you’re into gardening or have sensitive plants.
Travelers should be ready for quick changes. A warm, humid day can turn breezy and chilly by night.
If you’re going to theme parks or the beach, pack layers to stay comfy.
Rain can also show up. Showers usually roll in just ahead of a front, which might delay outdoor events or slow down road trips.
Once the front pushes through, skies clear up and things get nice again for outdoor activities.
Weather Alerts and Safety Precautions
Thanksgiving in Florida usually brings mild, pleasant weather, but sudden changes can still catch you off guard.
Cold fronts, heavy rain, or even late-season tropical systems can mess with travel and outdoor plans.
Staying alert and knowing how to respond helps you avoid headaches.
Common Weather Alerts During Thanksgiving
Florida’s weather alerts in late November usually involve cold fronts, dense fog, and occasional storms.
Hurricane season officially ends November 30, but late-season tropical systems can still pop up.
The National Weather Service (NWS) issues alerts like:
- Flood Watches/Warnings, when heavy rain could cause local flooding.
- Dense Fog Advisories, especially in the morning, inland, or near rivers.
- Wind Advisories, when strong gusts make driving or boating risky.
Cold fronts can also bring Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, though they’re less common than in summer.
Watch for alerts on days with big temperature swings—those often mean a front is about to bring rain and wind.
Monitoring Severe Weather
Stick with official sources for weather alerts. The NWS and local emergency offices give the most reliable updates.
Mobile apps and NOAA Weather Radio send out real-time warnings, which really help if you’re traveling or outdoors.
Check forecast discussions before Thanksgiving week. Meteorologists often point out big patterns, like incoming fronts or unsettled weather, several days ahead.
If you’re near the coast, keep an eye out for rip current statements and small craft advisories. Even with blue skies, strong winds or rough surf can make swimming and boating dangerous.
Staying Informed While Traveling
Holiday travel means you really need to stay updated. If you’re driving, dense fog advisories can make a big difference, especially since visibility drops fast in the early morning.
Give yourself extra time on the road. Use your headlights, but skip the high beams when fog rolls in.
If you’re flying, check notifications from your airline, and don’t forget to look at the latest forecast updates. Cold fronts moving through the Southeast can slow things down, and those delays often spill over into Florida airports.
Keep a few sources of info close by:
- Weather apps with push alerts
- Local TV and radio updates
- Highway advisory signs
When you stay aware of alerts while traveling, you can adjust your plans and avoid those last-minute headaches.
Travel Considerations and Packing Tips
Florida’s late November weather usually feels warm compared to most of the country. Still, it can flip on you with sudden rain or a chilly evening.
Holiday travel brings heavier traffic and airports get crowded, which might mess with your schedule.
What to Pack for Thanksgiving in Florida
Daytime highs often land in the 70s or low 80s. You’ll want lightweight, breathable clothing—think shorts, t-shirts, sundresses.
But mornings and evenings sometimes dip into the 50s or 60s, so toss in a light jacket or sweater just in case.
Florida gets quick rain showers, even during the drier months. A compact umbrella or packable rain jacket can really save you.
You’ll need comfortable walking shoes if you plan to explore parks, cities, or beaches.
For sun protection, pack sunscreen, sunglasses, and a hat. The UV index stays strong all year, and honestly, you can get burned even when it feels cool.
If you’re headed to the beach or pool, bring swimwear and sandals.
Here’s a simple packing list to keep things easy:
- 3–4 lightweight tops
- 1–2 pairs of shorts
- 1 pair of long pants
- Light sweater or jacket
- Rain jacket or umbrella
- Swimwear
- Comfortable shoes and sandals
- Sunscreen, hat, sunglasses
With this mix, you’ll stay comfortable during warm afternoons and those cooler nights.
Travel Delays and Weather-Related Disruptions
Thanksgiving week brings some of the busiest travel days to Florida. Roads get packed, especially right before the holiday, and airports fill up fast.
If you’re driving, you’ll probably hit heavy traffic near big cities like Orlando, Miami, and Tampa. It’s not exactly fun, but it’s kind of expected.
Weather usually doesn’t mess up travel too much in late November. Still, rain showers can slow things down on the roads and might cause a few flight delays.
Tropical storms rarely pop up this late in the season. But honestly, it’s still a good idea to check the forecast before heading out.
Give yourself extra time if you want to dodge stress. Try to avoid peak travel days if you can.
For flights, get to the airport earlier than usual. Security lines can get ridiculously long.
It’s smart to book hotels and rental cars ahead of time, since everyone else seems to have the same idea during Thanksgiving week.
A little planning goes a long way, especially when you’re dealing with crowds and unpredictable weather.